正在加载乐园信息
三丽鸥彩虹乐园 · 预测
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 2 days (2026-10-29–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 853 days (2023-11-02–2026-10-26)
Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation
2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (308 days)
| Model | Mean error | Rank match |
|---|---|---|
| 相似日期优先 | 5.9 min | 45.1% |
| 活动优先 | 5.7 min | 49.7% |
| 均衡 | 5.8 min | 46.8% |
| Reference: constant mean | 7 min | 35.7% |
Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
可能波动范围：0～52分
预测可信度：初步
请作为选择游园日期的参考。
Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.
天气预报仅供参考，目前尚未用于拥挤预测模型。
汇总时间：2026/11/1 20:30 JST
CForecast for this date
预测可信度：初步
Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.
Historical records used：2026-10-29〜2026-10-31（2日）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.
暂无营业时间 · 08:00–17:00分 · 日本时间
每小时平均值仅包含有预测数据的设施，缺失值不计为零。 游乐设施 3–7/10
预测可信度：初步 · Historical records used 2026-10-29–2026-10-31
| 游乐设施 | 08:00 | 09:00 | 10:00 | 11:00 | 12:00 | 13:00 | 14:00 | 15:00 | 16:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| メルヘンシアター [KAWAII KABUKI ] | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| エンターテイメントホール | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| フェアリーランドシアター | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| キャラクターボートライド | 136〜201 days | 6934〜1041 days | 7537〜1132 days | 5628〜852 days | 5728〜862 days | 6231〜942 days | 6029〜902 days | 5527〜841 days | 6632〜992 days |
| ディスカバリーシアター[シナモロールの小さな大冒険] | — | 50〜101 days | 184〜282 days | 147〜222 days | 115〜172 days | 168〜252 days | 147〜222 days | 115〜172 days | 115〜172 days |
| マイメロードドライブ | 50〜101 days | 199〜291 days | 5024〜752 days | 4220〜632 days | 4321〜652 days | 5125〜772 days | 5125〜772 days | 4824〜732 days | 4120〜622 days |
| ストロベリーホール [キャラグリレジデンス] | 50〜101 days | 50〜101 days | 50〜112 days | 60〜111 days | 60〜111 days | 60〜111 days | — | — | — |
| ~キキ&ララ~トゥインクリングスタジオ | — | 50〜101 days | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 60〜112 days | 71〜122 days |
| レディキティハウス | — | 61〜121 days | 126〜192 days | 178〜262 days | 199〜282 days | 3014〜452 days | 3216〜492 days | 2713〜412 days | 3416〜511 days |
| BUDDYEDDY WONDERFUL CLUB | — | — | — | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 50〜112 days | 60〜111 days |
Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.