2027年9月11日星期六

读卖乐园 · 预测

Forecast model · 均衡

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 2 days (2026-10-30–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 970 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)

Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation

2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (326 days)

Model	Mean error	Rank match
相似日期优先	4.1 min	29.8%
活动优先	3.5 min	41.7%
均衡	3.6 min	36.2%
Reference: constant mean	5.7 min	14.7%

Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.

External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.

预测

适中

预测平均等候时间27分

可能波动范围：0～63分

周末按星期、节假日和季节调整過去2日分の実績を参照以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

预测可信度：初步
请作为选择游园日期的参考。

如何理解预测

Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.

天气预报仅供参考，目前尚未用于拥挤预测模型。

汇总时间：2026/11/1 22:25 JST

HOURLY WAIT FORECAST

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

CForecast for this date
预测可信度：初步

Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.

Historical records used：2026-10-30〜2026-10-31（2日）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.

游乐设施

全园等候时间

暂无营业时间 · 10:00–21:00分 · 日本时间

预测初步

10:00 JST

记录—

预测30分10:00–11:00

选择时刻

每小时平均值仅包含有预测数据的设施，缺失值不计为零。游乐设施 3–28/49

预测可信度：初步 · Historical records used 2026-10-30–2026-10-31

0–13分14–22分23–30分31–40分41–53分54+分以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

Predicted wait (minutes), with indicative range below
游乐设施	10:00	11:00	12:00	13:00	14:00	15:00	16:00	17:00	18:00	19:00	20:00
Lipovitan Rocket Luna	—	3015〜501 days	4020〜601 days	3015〜451 days	—	6030〜952 days	6525〜952 days	5530〜852 days	4520〜702 days	2010〜301 days	—
Spin Runway	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2010〜301 days	3015〜451 days	4520〜651 days	6030〜851 days	5525〜852 days	5025〜752 days	5025〜752 days	4520〜652 days	—
Splash U.F.O.	3515〜501 days	2510〜351 days	2515〜401 days	3015〜501 days	4020〜601 days	5025〜801 days	4520〜652 days	4020〜602 days	4525〜701 days	4020〜601 days	—
Sky-Go-LAND	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	—
Kids' Fire Brigade Keshippi	—	—	—	—	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	—	—
Frog Hopper	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days
Merry-Go-Round Dog	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	—	155〜201 days	155〜251 days	3015〜501 days	4020〜601 days	4020〜601 days	—
Round and Round Drive	—	—	—	—	—	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days
Sea Chicken GO!	—	—	—	—	—	155〜201 days	2510〜351 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days
Haunted House Hyudoro	—	2510〜351 days	2515〜401 days	2510〜352 days	2510〜402 days	4525〜702 days	4020〜652 days	4520〜652 days	4020〜652 days	4020〜552 days	—
Hero Training Center: Mission 8	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	2010〜351 days	3015〜451 days	3015〜452 days	2510〜402 days	2515〜401 days	2010〜351 days	155〜201 days
Miracle Wan Room — Adventure on Churros Island	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wan Wan Coaster Wandit	—	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	2510〜401 days	4020〜601 days	3520〜551 days	2515〜401 days	3015〜451 days	2515〜401 days
Looping Starship	—	—	—	—	—	—	1510〜251 days	2510〜401 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days
Go-Karts — Circuit Course	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Play Park	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sweets Cup	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bandit	2510〜402 days	2010〜352 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	5525〜851 days	4520〜702 days	5025〜752 days	5025〜752 days	2010〜301 days	—
Animal Rescue — Attack of Mechantula	—	—	—	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	—	—
Hashibiro GO!	—	—	—	—	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	—
Crazy Hyuuu	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crazy Stooon	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bungee Jump	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4020〜601 days	4020〜601 days	—	—
Giant Sky River	—	2010〜301 days	3515〜551 days	2515〜401 days	3520〜551 days	5025〜801 days	4020〜652 days	5025〜752 days	3520〜552 days	3515〜551 days	—
Milky Way	—	—	—	—	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	—
Fight Ippatsu!	—	—	—	—	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	—	—
Panorama Driving	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
My Racing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Custom Garage	—	2010〜301 days	2510〜351 days	2010〜301 days	3515〜551 days	4020〜601 days	5530〜851 days	3015〜501 days	2515〜401 days	3015〜451 days	—
Spin Drive	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tamagoro Brain Challenge	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Go-Go Mine Cart	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nobbo Tower	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Round and Round Compass	—	—	—	—	—	—	2010〜301 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	—	—
My Knit	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
SKY Patrol	—	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	2515〜401 days	3015〜451 days	3520〜551 days	3515〜501 days	2515〜401 days	—
Driving Lab	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
My U.F.O. Factory	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lipovitan Lab — Dr. Lipo's Secret Research	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sea Lion Hall	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bun Bun Swing	—	—	—	—	—	3515〜501 days	4020〜601 days	1510〜251 days	3515〜551 days	2515〜401 days	155〜201 days
Go-Karts — Highway Course	—	155〜201 days	2510〜402 days	2515〜401 days	2510〜352 days	4020〜652 days	5025〜752 days	5525〜852 days	6030〜852 days	5025〜701 days	—
Dino Runner	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	2010〜301 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	1510〜251 days	155〜201 days	155〜201 days
Pteranodon's Sky Adventure	—	—	155〜201 days	155〜201 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	2515〜401 days	155〜251 days	4020〜601 days	4020〜601 days	—
SHATEKI	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coin Games	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Coin Games	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Fashion Lab	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
U.F.O. Sauce Shooting	—	—	—	—	—	155〜201 days	2010〜351 days	2010〜301 days	—	—	—

Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.

选择乐园