正在加载乐园信息

CROWD FORECAST

2027年5月5日星期三

读卖乐园 · 预测

Forecast model · 均衡

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 2 days (2026-10-30–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 970 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)

Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation

2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (326 days)

Model	Mean error	Rank match
相似日期优先	4.1 min	29.8%
活动优先	3.5 min	41.7%
均衡	3.6 min	36.2%
Reference: constant mean	5.7 min	14.7%

Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.

External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.

预测

较拥挤

预测平均等候时间34分

可能波动范围：5～63分

儿童节按星期、节假日和季节调整過去2日分の実績を参照以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

预测可信度：初步
请作为选择游园日期的参考。

如何理解预测

Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.

天气预报仅供参考，目前尚未用于拥挤预测模型。

汇总时间：2026/11/1 21:30 JST

HOURLY WAIT FORECAST

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

BForecast for this date
预测可信度：初步

Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.

Historical records used：2026-10-30〜2026-10-31（2日）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.

游乐设施

全园等候时间

暂无营业时间 · 10:00–21:00分 · 日本时间

预测初步

10:00 JST

记录—

预测33.7分10:00–11:00

选择时刻

每小时平均值仅包含有预测数据的设施，缺失值不计为零。游乐设施 3–28/49

预测可信度：初步 · Historical records used 2026-10-30–2026-10-31

0–13分14–22分23–30分31–40分41–53分54+分以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

Predicted wait (minutes), with indicative range below
游乐设施	10:00	11:00	12:00	13:00	14:00	15:00	16:00	17:00	18:00	19:00	20:00
Lipovitan Rocket Luna	—	3819〜581 days	4623〜701 days	3618〜551 days	—	6934〜1042 days	7030〜1092 days	6632〜992 days	5122〜802 days	2311〜351 days	—
Spin Runway	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	2411〜361 days	3617〜541 days	5427〜821 days	7035〜1061 days	6230〜932 days	5527〜832 days	5728〜862 days	4924〜732 days	—
Splash U.F.O.	4019〜601 days	2813〜421 days	3316〜501 days	3819〜581 days	4823〜721 days	6431〜961 days	4922〜752 days	4321〜652 days	5728〜861 days	4823〜721 days	—
Sky-Go-LAND	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	—
Kids' Fire Brigade Keshippi	—	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
青蛙跳跳机	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days
Merry-Go-Round Dog	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	167〜241 days	199〜281 days	3819〜581 days	4823〜721 days	4823〜721 days	—
Round and Round Drive	—	—	—	—	—	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days
Sea Chicken GO!	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	2914〜441 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days
Haunted House Hyudoro	—	2813〜421 days	3215〜481 days	2713〜422 days	3015〜462 days	5527〜832 days	5125〜772 days	5226〜792 days	4924〜752 days	4622〜692 days	—
Hero Training Center: Mission 8	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	2613〜401 days	3718〜561 days	3517〜532 days	2914〜452 days	3215〜481 days	2613〜401 days	167〜241 days
Miracle Wan Room — Adventure on Churros Island	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wan Wan Coaster Wandit	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	3115〜461 days	4823〜721 days	4522〜681 days	3215〜481 days	3718〜561 days	3215〜481 days
Looping Starship	—	—	—	—	—	—	2110〜321 days	3115〜461 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days
Go-Karts — Circuit Course	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Play Park	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sweets Cup	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bandit	2914〜452 days	2613〜402 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	178〜261 days	6833〜1021 days	5122〜802 days	5929〜892 days	5527〜832 days	2311〜351 days	—
Animal Rescue — Attack of Mechantula	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
Hashibiro GO!	—	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—
Crazy Hyuuu	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crazy Stooon	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
蹦极	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4823〜721 days	4823〜721 days	—	—
Giant Sky River	—	2411〜361 days	4421〜661 days	3316〜501 days	4522〜681 days	6431〜961 days	4824〜732 days	5527〜832 days	4120〜622 days	4221〜641 days	—
Milky Way	—	—	—	—	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	—
Fight Ippatsu!	—	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
Panorama Driving	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
My Racing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Custom Garage	—	2612〜391 days	2914〜441 days	2512〜381 days	4421〜661 days	5025〜761 days	6934〜1041 days	3819〜581 days	3316〜501 days	3517〜531 days	—
Spin Drive	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tamagoro Brain Challenge	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Go-Go Mine Cart	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nobbo Tower	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Round and Round Compass	—	—	—	—	—	—	2211〜341 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
My Knit	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
SKY Patrol	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	3316〜501 days	3718〜561 days	4522〜681 days	4120〜621 days	3215〜481 days	—
Driving Lab	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
My U.F.O. Factory	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lipovitan Lab — Dr. Lipo's Secret Research	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sea Lion Hall	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bun Bun Swing	—	—	—	—	—	4019〜601 days	5025〜761 days	209〜301 days	4421〜661 days	3215〜481 days	167〜241 days
Go-Karts — Highway Course	—	167〜241 days	3115〜472 days	3316〜491 days	2814〜432 days	5025〜762 days	5527〜832 days	6532〜982 days	6733〜1012 days	5829〜881 days	—
Dino Runner	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	2512〜381 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	209〜301 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days
Pteranodon's Sky Adventure	—	—	167〜241 days	178〜261 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	199〜281 days	4823〜721 days	4823〜721 days	—
SHATEKI	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
投币游戏	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
投币游戏	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Fashion Lab	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
U.F.O. Sauce Shooting	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	2613〜401 days	2411〜361 days	—	—	—

Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.

正在加载乐园信息

返回日历

CROWD FORECAST

2027年5月5日星期三

读卖乐园 · 预测

Forecast model · 均衡

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 2 days (2026-10-30–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 970 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)

Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation

2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (326 days)

Model	Mean error	Rank match
相似日期优先	4.1 min	29.8%
活动优先	3.5 min	41.7%
均衡	3.6 min	36.2%
Reference: constant mean	5.7 min	14.7%

Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.

预测

较拥挤

预测平均等候时间34分

可能波动范围：5～63分

儿童节按星期、节假日和季节调整過去2日分の実績を参照以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

预测可信度：初步
请作为选择游园日期的参考。

如何理解预测

Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.

天气预报仅供参考，目前尚未用于拥挤预测模型。

汇总时间：2026/11/1 21:30 JST

HOURLY WAIT FORECAST

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

BForecast for this date
预测可信度：初步

Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.

Historical records used：2026-10-30〜2026-10-31（2日）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.

游乐设施

全园等候时间

暂无营业时间 · 10:00–21:00分 · 日本时间

预测初步

10:00 JST

记录—

预测33.7分10:00–11:00

选择时刻

每小时平均值仅包含有预测数据的设施，缺失值不计为零。游乐设施 3–28/49

预测可信度：初步 · Historical records used 2026-10-30–2026-10-31

0–13分14–22分23–30分31–40分41–53分54+分以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

Predicted wait (minutes), with indicative range below
游乐设施	10:00	11:00	12:00	13:00	14:00	15:00	16:00	17:00	18:00	19:00	20:00
Lipovitan Rocket Luna	—	3819〜581 days	4623〜701 days	3618〜551 days	—	6934〜1042 days	7030〜1092 days	6632〜992 days	5122〜802 days	2311〜351 days	—
Spin Runway	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	2411〜361 days	3617〜541 days	5427〜821 days	7035〜1061 days	6230〜932 days	5527〜832 days	5728〜862 days	4924〜732 days	—
Splash U.F.O.	4019〜601 days	2813〜421 days	3316〜501 days	3819〜581 days	4823〜721 days	6431〜961 days	4922〜752 days	4321〜652 days	5728〜861 days	4823〜721 days	—
Sky-Go-LAND	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	—
Kids' Fire Brigade Keshippi	—	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
青蛙跳跳机	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days
Merry-Go-Round Dog	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	167〜241 days	199〜281 days	3819〜581 days	4823〜721 days	4823〜721 days	—
Round and Round Drive	—	—	—	—	—	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days
Sea Chicken GO!	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	2914〜441 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days
Haunted House Hyudoro	—	2813〜421 days	3215〜481 days	2713〜422 days	3015〜462 days	5527〜832 days	5125〜772 days	5226〜792 days	4924〜752 days	4622〜692 days	—
Hero Training Center: Mission 8	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	2613〜401 days	3718〜561 days	3517〜532 days	2914〜452 days	3215〜481 days	2613〜401 days	167〜241 days
Miracle Wan Room — Adventure on Churros Island	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Wan Wan Coaster Wandit	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	3115〜461 days	4823〜721 days	4522〜681 days	3215〜481 days	3718〜561 days	3215〜481 days
Looping Starship	—	—	—	—	—	—	2110〜321 days	3115〜461 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days
Go-Karts — Circuit Course	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Play Park	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sweets Cup	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bandit	2914〜452 days	2613〜402 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	178〜261 days	6833〜1021 days	5122〜802 days	5929〜892 days	5527〜832 days	2311〜351 days	—
Animal Rescue — Attack of Mechantula	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
Hashibiro GO!	—	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—
Crazy Hyuuu	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Crazy Stooon	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
蹦极	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4823〜721 days	4823〜721 days	—	—
Giant Sky River	—	2411〜361 days	4421〜661 days	3316〜501 days	4522〜681 days	6431〜961 days	4824〜732 days	5527〜832 days	4120〜622 days	4221〜641 days	—
Milky Way	—	—	—	—	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	—
Fight Ippatsu!	—	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
Panorama Driving	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
My Racing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Custom Garage	—	2612〜391 days	2914〜441 days	2512〜381 days	4421〜661 days	5025〜761 days	6934〜1041 days	3819〜581 days	3316〜501 days	3517〜531 days	—
Spin Drive	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tamagoro Brain Challenge	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Go-Go Mine Cart	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Nobbo Tower	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Round and Round Compass	—	—	—	—	—	—	2211〜341 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	—	—
My Knit	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
SKY Patrol	—	—	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	3316〜501 days	3718〜561 days	4522〜681 days	4120〜621 days	3215〜481 days	—
Driving Lab	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
My U.F.O. Factory	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Lipovitan Lab — Dr. Lipo's Secret Research	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sea Lion Hall	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Bun Bun Swing	—	—	—	—	—	4019〜601 days	5025〜761 days	209〜301 days	4421〜661 days	3215〜481 days	167〜241 days
Go-Karts — Highway Course	—	167〜241 days	3115〜472 days	3316〜491 days	2814〜432 days	5025〜762 days	5527〜832 days	6532〜982 days	6733〜1012 days	5829〜881 days	—
Dino Runner	—	167〜241 days	167〜241 days	2512〜381 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	209〜301 days	167〜241 days	167〜241 days
Pteranodon's Sky Adventure	—	—	167〜241 days	178〜261 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	3215〜481 days	199〜281 days	4823〜721 days	4823〜721 days	—
SHATEKI	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
投币游戏	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
投币游戏	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Fashion Lab	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
U.F.O. Sauce Shooting	—	—	—	—	—	167〜241 days	2613〜401 days	2411〜361 days	—	—	—

Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.

选择乐园

读卖乐园

选择乐园

读卖乐园

2027年5月5日星期三

较拥挤

如何理解预测

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

全园等候时间

2027年5月5日星期三

较拥挤

如何理解预测

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

全园等候时间