2027年8月11日星期三

豪斯登堡 · 预测

Forecast model · 均衡

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 10 days (2026-10-23–2026-11-01)
Historical patterns: 1067 days (2023-11-02–2026-10-26)

Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 2.7 min (7 days)

Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation

2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (362 days)

Model	Mean error	Rank match
相似日期优先	3 min	43.1%
活动优先	2.6 min	55.5%
均衡	2.6 min	58.6%
Reference: constant mean	4.4 min	43.4%

Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.

External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.

预测

拥挤

预测平均等候时间19分

可能波动范围：0～48分

山之日按星期、节假日和季节调整過去10日分の実績を参照以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

预测可信度：初步
请作为选择游园日期的参考。

如何理解预测

Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.

天气预报仅供参考，目前尚未用于拥挤预测模型。

汇总时间：2026/11/2 03:00 JST

HOURLY WAIT FORECAST

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

AForecast for this date
预测可信度：初步

Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.

Historical records used：2026-10-23〜2026-11-01（10日）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.

エリア游乐设施

全园等候时间

暂无营业时间 · 10:00–22:00分 · 日本时间

预测初步

10:00 JST

记录—

预测20分10:00–11:00

选择时刻

每小时平均值仅包含有预测数据的设施，缺失值不计为零。游乐设施 2–17/29

预测可信度：初步 · Historical records used 2026-10-23–2026-11-01

0–5分6–9分10–13分14–17分18–23分24+分以此乐园实际等候时间为基准 · 初步

Predicted wait (minutes), with indicative range below
游乐设施	10:00	11:00	12:00	13:00	14:00	15:00	16:00	17:00	18:00	19:00	20:00	21:00
GO&GO!! SNIPER GAME	2010〜3010 days	2515〜3510 days	2515〜4510 days	2515〜3510 days	3015〜3510 days	2515〜3510 days	2515〜3510 days	3020〜4510 days	2515〜3010 days	2515〜3510 days	2010〜253 days	—
Domtoren	50〜103 days	55〜109 days	55〜109 days	55〜109 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	50〜102 days
Canal Cruiser (Tower City)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Gondola Cruise (Tower City)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Fishing Adventure	205〜3510 days	2515〜4510 days	2515〜4010 days	2515〜3510 days	2515〜4010 days	2515〜4010 days	2515〜4010 days	2515〜4010 days	2015〜3010 days	2515〜4010 days	2510〜353 days	—
Uncle Pilot’s Flight Adventure	2510〜507 days	3015〜508 days	3015〜458 days	3020〜359 days	2515〜3510 days	2515〜359 days	3015〜4510 days	3020〜3510 days	2015〜3510 days	2015〜2510 days	2515〜403 days	—
Miffy & Friends Yacht Sailing	105〜157 days	1510〜208 days	1510〜209 days	1510〜209 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜209 days	1510〜2510 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	105〜203 days	—
Greeting Gallery	155〜2010 days	155〜2010 days	155〜3010 days	155〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2510 days	2015〜2510 days	1510〜2010 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜153 days	—
Miffy’s Dream Storybook	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	155〜2010 days	1510〜2510 days	1510〜2010 days	155〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜153 days	—
Space Fantasia	1510〜2510 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2510 days	1510〜2510 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	155〜203 days	—
Ocean Fantasia	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	50〜103 days	—
Athletic Fantasia [SKY Floor]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Athletic Fantasia [YOKERO]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Carillon Fantasia	105〜1510 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	1510〜2010 days	105〜153 days	—
Art Fantasia	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Flower Fantasia	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜153 days	—
Canal Cruiser (Breitner Pier)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Count Chocolat’s Mansion	55〜1010 days	105〜1510 days	55〜1510 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	50〜103 days	—
Sky Carousel [1F]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sky Carousel [2F]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sky Carousel [3F]	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Mission Deep Sea Xsense Ride	2515〜4010 days	3020〜4010 days	2520〜3510 days	2520〜3510 days	3020〜3510 days	3020〜3510 days	3020〜3510 days	2520〜3510 days	3015〜4510 days	3520〜4510 days	2510〜403 days	—
Evangelion the Ride - 8K -	3515〜5510 days	3515〜5510 days	2515〜4510 days	2515〜3510 days	2515〜4010 days	2515〜4010 days	3015〜4010 days	3015〜3510 days	2015〜2510 days	1510〜2010 days	155〜203 days	—
Alice in Borderland: Immersive Death Game	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
White Ferris Wheel	50〜106 days	55〜108 days	55〜109 days	55〜109 days	55〜109 days	55〜109 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜1010 days	55〜109 days	55〜152 days
Shooting Star	2510〜458 days	3525〜457 days	2515〜357 days	2515〜357 days	2515〜408 days	3020〜408 days	5030〜658 days	3515〜458 days	—	—	—	—
Sky Rail Coaster: Gale	4525〜657 days	3525〜607 days	3520〜508 days	3525〜508 days	3520〜458 days	4030〜558 days	5035〜708 days	4030〜507 days	—	—	—	—
Canal Cruiser	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Gondola Cruise	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.

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