2025年2月10日星期一

浅草花屋敷 · 实绩

Forecast model · 均衡

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 5 days (2026-10-28–2026-11-01)
Historical patterns: 501 days (2023-11-02–2026-10-23)

Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 2.4 min (2 days)

Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.

External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.

正在显示上次保存的汇总，尚未确认最新数据更新。

实绩

较空闲

实绩11

拥挤等级以同一乐园、同一指标的历史记录为基准。记录间的缺失时段会自动插值，并标注≈。

当日记录说明

拥挤等级以同一乐园、同一指标的历史记录为基准。记录间的缺失时段会自动插值，并标注≈。

汇总时间：2026/11/2 02:00 JST

当天各游乐设施的等候时间

未取得当天营业时间有记录的时段 · 11:15–18:15

也显示当前设施列表中没有历史记录的设施，不代表当天营业。—表示无记录。

使用同一天同一设施前后的记录，按15分钟间隔补全缺失的等候时间。≈和虚线表示估算值，不跨停运区间补全。平均、最短和最长仍以原始记录为准。

各游乐设施的实际记录（分钟）
游乐设施	最短	Average	最长
Roller Coaster	10	15	20
Helicopter	10	10	10
Sky Ship	10	10	10
Pyon Pyon	10	10	10
Merry-Go-Round	10	10	10
Swan	—	—	—
Kids' Ninja House: Nin Nin Park	—	—	—
Thriller Car	—	—	—
Kids' Taxi	—	—	—
Surprise House	—	—	—
Carnival	—	—	—
Disk-O	—	—	—
Little Star	—	—	—
Shirasagi	—	—	—
Maruhana Swordsmanship Dojo	—	—	—
Panorama Time Travel	—	—	—
Mysterious Scoop Photographer	—	—	—
Haunted House — Edo Test of Courage	—	—	—

表格时间间隔

通常每1小时显示，最近1小时所覆盖的区间按15分钟显示。尚未结束的区间仅使用已采集的记录计算。

0–6分7–11分12–15分16–20分21–27分28+分以此乐园实际等候时间为基准

包含估算值

园内

18 个设施

1–8 / 18

园内 — 各行为该区间的平均等候时间。当前为最新公布值，— 表示无记录。
时间分	Roller Coaster	Helicopter	Sky Ship	Pyon Pyon	Merry-Go-Round	Swan	Kids' Ninja House: Nin Nin Park	Thriller Car
2/1011:15–12:00	—	10	—	—	10	—	—	—
12:00–13:00	10	≈10	—	—	—	—	—	—
13:00–14:00	≈15	≈10	10	—	—	—	—	—
14:00–15:00	≈20	—	≈10	10	—	—	—	—
15:00–16:00	≈20	—	≈10	≈10	—	—	—	—
16:00–17:00	≈15	—	≈10	≈10	—	—	—	—
17:00–17:30	≈10	—	≈10	≈10	—	—	—	—
17:30–17:45	—	—	≈10	≈10	—	—	—	—
17:45–18:00	—	—	10	10	—	—	—	—
18:00–18:15	—	—	≈10	≈10	—	—	—	—
18:15–18:30	—	—	10	10	—	—	—	—

9–16 / 18

园内 — 各行为该区间的平均等候时间。当前为最新公布值，— 表示无记录。
时间分	Kids' Taxi	Surprise House	Carnival	Disk-O	Little Star	Shirasagi	Maruhana Swordsmanship Dojo	Panorama Time Travel
2/1011:15–12:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
12:00–13:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
13:00–14:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14:00–15:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15:00–16:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
16:00–17:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17:00–17:30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17:30–17:45	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17:45–18:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18:00–18:15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18:15–18:30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

17–18 / 18

园内 — 各行为该区间的平均等候时间。当前为最新公布值，— 表示无记录。
时间分	Mysterious Scoop Photographer	Haunted House — Edo Test of Courage
2/1011:15–12:00	—	—
12:00–13:00	—	—
13:00–14:00	—	—
14:00–15:00	—	—
15:00–16:00	—	—
16:00–17:00	—	—
17:00–17:30	—	—
17:30–17:45	—	—
17:45–18:00	—	—
18:00–18:15	—	—
18:15–18:30	—	—

查看各设施与平均值的变化