2024年12月18日星期三

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 5 days (2026-10-28–2026-11-01)
Historical patterns: 501 days (2023-11-02–2026-10-23)

Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 2.4 min (2 days)

Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.

External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.