2024年1月28日星期日

浅草花屋敷 · 实绩

Forecast model · 均衡

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 4 days (2026-10-28–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 502 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-23)

Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 2.0 min (1 days)

Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.

External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.

实绩

适中

实绩13

拥挤等级以同一乐园、同一指标的历史记录为基准。记录间的缺失时段会自动插值，并标注≈。

当日记录说明

拥挤等级以同一乐园、同一指标的历史记录为基准。记录间的缺失时段会自动插值，并标注≈。

汇总时间：2026/11/1 22:20 JST

当天各游乐设施的等候时间

未取得当天营业时间有记录的时段 · 11:45–18:15

也显示当前设施列表中没有历史记录的设施，不代表当天营业。—表示无记录。

使用同一天同一设施前后的记录，按15分钟间隔补全缺失的等候时间。≈和虚线表示估算值，不跨停运区间补全。平均、最短和最长仍以原始记录为准。

各游乐设施的实际记录（分钟）
游乐设施	最短	Average	最长
Roller Coaster	10	25	40
Helicopter	10	10	10
Shirasagi	10	20	20
Haunted House — Edo Test of Courage	10	20	20
Pyon Pyon	10	10	10
Disk-O	10	10	10
Merry-Go-Round	10	10	10
Surprise House	10	10	10
Carnival	10	10	10
Maruhana Swordsmanship Dojo	10	10	10
Kids' Taxi	10	10	10
Swan	—	—	—
Sky Ship	—	—	—
Kids' Ninja House: Nin Nin Park	—	—	—
Thriller Car	—	—	—
Little Star	—	—	—
Panorama Time Travel	—	—	—
Mysterious Scoop Photographer	—	—	—

表格时间间隔

通常每1小时显示，最近1小时所覆盖的区间按15分钟显示。尚未结束的区间仅使用已采集的记录计算。

0–6分7–11分12–15分16–20分21–27分28+分以此乐园实际等候时间为基准

包含估算值

园内

18 个设施

1–8 / 18

园内 — 各行为该区间的平均等候时间。当前为最新公布值，— 表示无记录。
时间分	Roller Coaster	Helicopter	Shirasagi	Haunted House — Edo Test of Courage	Pyon Pyon	Disk-O	Merry-Go-Round	Surprise House
1/2811:45–12:00	10	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
12:00–13:00	≈15	≈10	20	—	10	—	—	—
13:00–14:00	≈20	≈10	≈20	≈20	≈10	—	—	—
14:00–15:00	≈30	≈10	≈20	≈20	≈10	—	≈10	≈10
15:00–16:00	≈40	≈10	≈20	≈20	≈10	≈10	≈10	≈10
16:00–17:00	≈35	≈10	≈20	≈20	≈10	≈10	≈10	≈10
17:00–17:30	≈30	≈10	≈15	≈15	≈10	≈10	≈10	≈10
17:30–17:45	—	≈10	—	—	≈10	—	≈10	—
17:45–18:00	—	10	—	—	10	—	10	—
18:00–18:15	—	≈10	—	—	≈10	—	≈10	—
18:15–18:30	—	10	—	—	10	—	10	—

9–16 / 18

园内 — 各行为该区间的平均等候时间。当前为最新公布值，— 表示无记录。
时间分	Carnival	Maruhana Swordsmanship Dojo	Kids' Taxi	Swan	Sky Ship	Kids' Ninja House: Nin Nin Park	Thriller Car	Little Star
1/2811:45–12:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
12:00–13:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
13:00–14:00	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14:00–15:00	≈10	≈10	10	—	—	—	—	—
15:00–16:00	≈10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
16:00–17:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17:00–17:30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17:30–17:45	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17:45–18:00	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18:00–18:15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18:15–18:30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

17–18 / 18

园内 — 各行为该区间的平均等候时间。当前为最新公布值，— 表示无记录。
时间分	Panorama Time Travel	Mysterious Scoop Photographer
1/2811:45–12:00	—	—
12:00–13:00	—	—
13:00–14:00	—	—
14:00–15:00	—	—
15:00–16:00	—	—
16:00–17:00	—	—
17:00–17:30	—	—
17:30–17:45	—	—
17:45–18:00	—	—
18:00–18:15	—	—
18:15–18:30	—	—

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