Find your next perfect park day.
Explore a year of records and forecasts.
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 15 days (2026-10-16–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 995 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)
Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 5.1 min (12 days)
Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
Relative to this park's recorded waits · Provisional
Historical results · 1000 days · 2023-10-27〜
History begins: 2023-10-27〜。Crowd ranks compare historical records for the same park and measure. Gaps between records are filled automatically and marked ≈.
Crowds are compared using daily average waits, not visitor counts. Relative to this park's recorded waits · Provisional
E:0–15 min D:16–26 min C:27–36 min B:37–47 min A:48–63 min S:64+ min
Completed days with at least 65% coverage are adjusted for weekdays, weekends, holidays, long weekends, New Year and school breaks. Sparse forecasts and factors not yet learned from observations are provisional.
Validation uses only earlier observations and event dates known at the forecast origin. Weather and future ride closures are excluded. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals.
Mean validation error is about 5.1 min.
External history is used only for weekday and seasonal ratios, and is kept separate from our observed waits.
Days used to learn patterns:995 · 2023-11-01〜2026-10-26
Historical data: Powered by ThemeParks.wiki. We continue recording official app wait-time data.