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Universal Studios Japan · Forecast
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 15 days (2026-10-16–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 1088 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)
Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 7.1 min (12 days)
Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation
2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (365 days)
| Model | Mean error | Rank match |
|---|---|---|
| Similar days | 8.7 pt | 49.9% |
| Events | 9 pt | 40.5% |
| Balanced | 8.7 pt | 45.5% |
| Reference: constant mean | 10.1 pt | 54% |
Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
Estimated range: 3–83 min
Forecast confidence: Provisional
Use as a guide when choosing a visit date.
Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.
Weather is shown alongside the crowd forecast; it is not yet an input to the crowd model.
Snapshot: 01/11/2026, 20:45 JST
CForecast for this date
Forecast confidence: Provisional
Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.
Historical records used：2026-10-23〜2026-10-31（9Sun）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.
Hours unavailable · 08:00–22:00 min · Japan time
Each hourly mean uses attractions with a forecast. Missing values are not counted as zero. Attractions 19–26/34
Forecast confidence: Provisional · Historical records used 2026-10-23–2026-10-31
| Attractions | 08:00 | 09:00 | 10:00 | 11:00 | 12:00 | 13:00 | 14:00 | 15:00 | 16:00 | 17:00 | 18:00 | 19:00 | 20:00 | 21:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollywood Dream - The Ride | 5238〜658 days | 7052〜888 days | 8060〜1018 days | 8462〜1058 days | 7354〜1039 days | 7556〜949 days | 7455〜938 days | 8362〜1049 days | 9669〜1209 days | 10578〜1328 days | 10257〜1449 days | 10074〜1259 days | 7637〜1146 days | 4623〜702 days |
| Hollywood Dream - The Ride: Backdrop | 6851〜868 days | 8866〜1118 days | 9571〜1208 days | 9974〜1248 days | 9168〜1229 days | 9370〜1179 days | 9973〜1248 days | 10981〜1369 days | 11183〜1398 days | 11686〜1458 days | 11679〜1459 days | 11888〜1489 days | 9145〜1376 days | 6331〜941 days |
| Frieren: Beyond Journey's End Story Walk -- Echoes of Adventure | — | — | — | — | — | 115〜173 days | 60〜113 days | 61〜123 days | 125〜184 days | 115〜236 days | 71〜128 days | 50〜109 days | 50〜109 days | 50〜109 days |
| Chainsaw Man: The Chaos 4-D | 2512〜382 days | 1712〜238 days | 1712〜239 days | 1711〜229 days | 1610〜219 days | 1711〜249 days | 1711〜249 days | 1914〜259 days | 2216〜299 days | 2115〜279 days | 1712〜239 days | 1610〜219 days | 1611〜229 days | 1611〜229 days |
| SADAKO'S CURSE: DARK HORROR RIDE | 2618〜369 days | 2015〜289 days | 2617〜339 days | 3122〜399 days | 3223〜409 days | 4827〜879 days | 3523〜449 days | 4027〜519 days | 4832〜639 days | 4632〜699 days | 3724〜539 days | 3520〜569 days | 2818〜469 days | 2213〜359 days |
| KATE PRESENTS Witches of House 18: Bewitching Mansion of Emotion | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Factory of Fear: Zombie Tour | — | 2814〜433 days | 2619〜339 days | 2720〜359 days | 2514〜329 days | 2820〜369 days | 3020〜389 days | 3325〜439 days | 4226〜569 days | 4432〜589 days | 3223〜469 days | 2913〜519 days | 2811〜519 days | 1911〜279 days |
| Resident Evil Requiem: The Dive | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SING on Tour | — | — | 2713〜412 days | 2418〜318 days | 2518〜329 days | 3022〜389 days | 2418〜319 days | 2519〜329 days | 2519〜329 days | 2720〜359 days | 2512〜393 days | — | — | — |
| Playing with Curious George™ | — | — | 2921〜367 days | 2921〜369 days | 4634〜589 days | 4634〜599 days | 2821〜369 days | 2921〜369 days | 2820〜369 days | — | — | — | — | — |
| The Flying Dinosaur | 3224〜418 days | 5541〜718 days | 7354〜927 days | 7656〜958 days | 8362〜1058 days | 8160〜1028 days | 8161〜1028 days | 8050〜1009 days | 8953〜1119 days | 9772〜1218 days | 7223〜909 days | 5939〜829 days | 4929〜669 days | 2412〜376 days |
| Jurassic Park - The Ride | 3122〜409 days | 2112〜389 days | 2516〜369 days | 2912〜479 days | 3120〜399 days | 2814〜479 days | 3218〜469 days | 2519〜339 days | 3425〜518 days | 3115〜475 days | — | — | — | — |
| Jurassic Park - The Ride in the Dark | — | 40〜101 days | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4623〜701 days | 3324〜449 days | 3520〜519 days | 2515〜409 days | 105〜169 days |
| The Flying Snoopy | 1712〜239 days | 196〜308 days | 2711〜389 days | 3222〜409 days | 3526〜459 days | 3627〜469 days | 3627〜469 days | 3526〜449 days | 3828〜489 days | 3727〜478 days | 2512〜329 days | 2113〜279 days | 1711〜249 days | 116〜179 days |
| Hello Kitty's Cupcake Dream | 2619〜439 days | 61〜129 days | 50〜109 days | 50〜109 days | 50〜109 days | 50〜109 days | 61〜129 days | 61〜129 days | 105〜169 days | 94〜158 days | 50〜119 days | 50〜109 days | 50〜119 days | 50〜109 days |
| Snoopy's Flying Ace Adventure | 148〜208 days | 136〜198 days | 2719〜359 days | 3727〜479 days | 3728〜479 days | 3929〜499 days | 4231〜539 days | 4332〜559 days | 4634〜589 days | 4634〜589 days | 3224〜419 days | 2613〜369 days | 2311〜299 days | 169〜219 days |
| Hello Kitty's Ribbon Collection | — | — | — | 3223〜409 days | 2922〜379 days | 2821〜369 days | 3123〜399 days | 3123〜429 days | 3526〜449 days | 4328〜549 days | 3324〜419 days | 2720〜359 days | 2519〜329 days | 1913〜249 days |
| Freeze Ray Sliders | 2014〜259 days | 138〜199 days | 1910〜279 days | 2311〜299 days | 2417〜319 days | 2719〜349 days | 3224〜439 days | 2815〜379 days | 3223〜409 days | 3324〜428 days | 1912〜259 days | 219〜279 days | 145〜209 days | 94〜159 days |
| Despicable Me: Minion Mayhem | 3022〜459 days | 2518〜329 days | 3122〜399 days | 3727〜489 days | 3220〜489 days | 3524〜499 days | 3727〜619 days | 4029〜619 days | 4534〜579 days | 5238〜669 days | 3217〜599 days | 2314〜319 days | 2710〜409 days | 175〜239 days |
| Space Killer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Banana Cabana | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Illumination’s Villain-Con Minion Blast | 82〜139 days | 60〜119 days | 105〜169 days | 159〜209 days | 1710〜239 days | 1610〜219 days | 2211〜289 days | 1812〜279 days | 2517〜329 days | 2216〜309 days | 126〜189 days | 83〜149 days | 71〜129 days | 50〜119 days |
| Harry Potter and the Forbidden Journey™ | 1611〜229 days | 3020〜389 days | 5934〜759 days | 6947〜879 days | 6234〜789 days | 6240〜789 days | 5843〜729 days | 6447〜809 days | 7556〜949 days | 7346〜929 days | 4332〜549 days | 2921〜389 days | 2111〜309 days | 138〜199 days |
| Flight of the Hippogriff™ | 2316〜298 days | 6246〜788 days | 6742〜859 days | 7139〜909 days | 7043〜959 days | 7152〜899 days | 7052〜908 days | 7455〜948 days | 7757〜979 days | 7959〜1008 days | 5530〜769 days | 4433〜569 days | 4029〜509 days | 199〜309 days |
| Ollivanders™ | — | 2921〜379 days | 3724〜479 days | 3118〜479 days | 2617〜389 days | 1812〜239 days | 1913〜299 days | 2816〜429 days | 2816〜409 days | 2417〜349 days | 1611〜229 days | 149〜209 days | 127〜189 days | 115〜176 days |
| JAWS | 104〜158 days | 2616〜408 days | 3425〜438 days | 3825〜488 days | 3726〜468 days | 3324〜419 days | 4324〜549 days | 3627〜469 days | 4329〜549 days | 2311〜354 days | — | — | — | — |
| Amity Boardwalk Games | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JAWS: Red Alert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6347〜808 days | 5919〜799 days | 5127〜669 days | 3512〜529 days | 145〜249 days |
| Festival In The Park | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Detective Conan 4-D Live Show: Jewel Under the Starry Sky | 3316〜503 days | 3425〜429 days | 3425〜429 days | 3425〜439 days | 5736〜819 days | 3123〜399 days | 2921〜379 days | 3223〜409 days | 3324〜429 days | 4533〜569 days | 4231〜539 days | 209〜303 days | — | — |
| Mario Kart: Koopa's Challenge™ | 5944〜759 days | 11586〜1449 days | 11686〜1459 days | 12089〜1519 days | 11082〜1379 days | 9772〜1219 days | 9067〜1139 days | 9067〜1139 days | 8160〜1029 days | 7959〜999 days | 6548〜819 days | 5138〜739 days | 4533〜579 days | 2317〜329 days |
| Yoshi's Adventure™ | 3117〜399 days | 8059〜1009 days | 8060〜1019 days | 7656〜959 days | 7252〜919 days | 7049〜909 days | 6548〜829 days | 5742〜719 days | 5935〜759 days | 6850〜858 days | 5835〜849 days | 4926〜619 days | 2715〜349 days | 177〜229 days |
| Power-Up Band™ Key Challenges | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mine Cart Madness™ | 158118〜1988 days | 211158〜2658 days | 167125〜2098 days | 168126〜2118 days | 156117〜1968 days | 148111〜1869 days | 168126〜2118 days | 169126〜2119 days | 179134〜2369 days | 185139〜2328 days | 169126〜2289 days | 12896〜1618 days | 9067〜1138 days | 5427〜822 days |
Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.