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Nasu Highland Park · No data
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 0 days
Historical patterns: 1033 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-22)
Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation
2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-22 (361 days)
| Model | Mean error | Rank match |
|---|---|---|
| Similar days | 1.2 min | 76.7% |
| Events | 0.9 min | 76.7% |
| Balanced | 1 min | 76.5% |
| Reference: constant mean | 1.5 min | 78.4% |
Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
Periods without records are marked unavailable.
Recorded levels reflect available operating-time waits. Missing periods are not treated as zero. Partial days and today’s running totals are labeled separately.
Snapshot: 01/11/2026, 20:50 JST
We are collecting complete-day records for hourly forecasts. Forecasts will appear automatically when data is available.