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ParkportalLive wait times and crowd forecastsDisneyland

CROWD FORECAST

Sunday, 15 August 2027

Tokyo Disneyland · Forecast

Forecast model · Balanced

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 16 days (2026-10-16–2026-11-01)
Historical patterns: 992 days (2023-11-02–2026-10-26)

Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 3.9 min (13 days)

Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.

External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.

Showing the last available snapshot. Current data may be delayed.

Forecast

Typical

Forecast average wait24 min

Estimated range: 0–55 min

WeekendAdjusted for weekdays, holidays and seasons過去16日分の実績を参照Relative to this park's recorded waits · Provisional

Forecast confidence: Provisional
Use as a guide when choosing a visit date.

Weather

JMA

No forecast is available yet.

How to read this forecast

Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.

Weather is shown alongside the crowd forecast; it is not yet an input to the crowd model.

Snapshot: 02/11/2026, 02:00 JST

HOURLY WAIT FORECAST

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

CForecast for this date
Forecast confidence: Provisional

Showing the last saved forecast.

Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.

Historical records used：2026-10-22〜2026-11-01（11Sun）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.

エリア Attractions

Park-wide wait times

Hours unavailable · 09:00–21:00 min · Japan time

ForecastProvisional

09:00 JST

Recorded—

Forecast25 min09:00–10:00

Select a time

Showing the last saved forecast.

Each hourly mean uses attractions with a forecast. Missing values are not counted as zero. Attractions 24–33/37

Forecast confidence: Provisional · Historical records used 2026-10-22–2026-11-01

0–10 min11–18 min19–24 min25–32 min33–43 min44+ minRelative to this park's recorded waits · Provisional

Predicted wait (minutes), with indicative range below
Attractions	09:00	10:00	11:00	12:00	13:00	14:00	15:00	16:00	17:00	18:00	19:00	20:00
Omnibus	55〜107 days	55〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜108 days	50〜106 days	55〜108 days	55〜151 days	—	—	—	—	—
Penny Arcade	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Western River Railroad	1510〜2011 days	2015〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	2015〜2511 days	—
Pirates of the Caribbean	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days
Jungle Cruise: Wildlife Expeditions	105〜1511 days	205〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	2015〜2511 days	2515〜3011 days	2515〜3011 days	2520〜3011 days	2520〜3011 days	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days
Swiss Family Treehouse	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
The Enchanted Tiki Room: Stitch Presents "Aloha E Komo Mai!"	—	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜158 days	105〜159 days	—
Westernland Shootin' Gallery	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	2010〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	2515〜3011 days	2015〜3011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1511 days
Country Bear Theater	—	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2511 days	155〜2511 days	2010〜2511 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	—
Mark Twain Riverboat	—	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	—
Tom Sawyer Island Rafts	—	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	—	—	—	—	—
Big Thunder Mountain	5540〜7010 days	5540〜7010 days	5035〜6511 days	4535〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	4535〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	5040〜6510 days	4530〜5511 days	4030〜5011 days	3020〜4011 days
Splash Mountain	5540〜7011 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜6511 days	5035〜6010 days	5530〜7011 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜7011 days	6550〜8511 days	6045〜8011 days	5035〜6011 days	4030〜5010 days	3525〜4511 days
Beaver Brothers Explorer Canoes	—	105〜3010 days	155〜209 days	205〜309 days	205〜259 days	205〜4010 days	255〜4011 days	—	—	—	—	—
Alice's Tea Party	55〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜2011 days	105〜1511 days
"it's a small world"	55〜1011 days	105〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	105〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1011 days	55〜1011 days
Castle Carrousel	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	2515〜3011 days	2015〜3011 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days
Snow White's Adventures	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days
Cinderella's Fairy Tale Hall	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dumbo The Flying Elephant	3020〜3510 days	3525〜4510 days	3025〜4010 days	3525〜4010 days	3525〜4010 days	3525〜4510 days	3520〜4510 days	4030〜5010 days	3525〜4510 days	3525〜4510 days	3025〜4010 days	3020〜4010 days
Peter Pan's Flight	2515〜3011 days	3020〜3511 days	3020〜3511 days	2520〜3511 days	3020〜4011 days	3025〜4011 days	3025〜4011 days	3525〜4511 days	3525〜4011 days	3025〜4011 days	2520〜3011 days	2015〜3010 days
Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast	12595〜16010 days	13095〜16010 days	11080〜13510 days	8060〜10011 days	10075〜13010 days	10580〜13510 days	10075〜12510 days	10580〜13011 days	9570〜12010 days	8060〜1259 days	6550〜8510 days	5035〜7510 days
Pinocchio's Daring Journey	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Pooh's Hunny Hunt	5040〜6511 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜7011 days	5035〜6011 days	5540〜7011 days	6045〜7511 days	6045〜8011 days	6045〜8011 days	5540〜7011 days	4530〜5511 days	3525〜4511 days	2520〜3511 days
Haunted Mansion “Holiday Nightmare”	4535〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	4530〜5511 days	5035〜7011 days	5535〜8011 days	5540〜7511 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜7511 days	5530〜7511 days	4520〜7011 days	3010〜5011 days
Mickey's PhilharMagic	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜2011 days	105〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1511 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Gadget's Go Coaster	105〜1511 days	2010〜3011 days	155〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	155〜2511 days	2015〜3011 days	2010〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days
Goofy's Paint 'n' Play House	—	155〜206 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	50〜106 days	50〜106 days	—
Chip 'n Dale's Treehouse	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Toon Park	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Donald's Boat	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Minnie's House	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1011 days
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin	105〜1511 days	2515〜3011 days	2515〜3011 days	2010〜2511 days	2010〜3011 days	3020〜3511 days	2520〜3511 days	3020〜3511 days	3020〜3511 days	2015〜2511 days	105〜2011 days	105〜1511 days
Star Tours: The Adventures Continue	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	55〜1511 days	105〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	50〜1011 days	55〜1011 days
Stitch Encounter	—	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	—	—
The Happy Ride with Baymax	11075〜13511 days	10580〜13011 days	8060〜10011 days	6550〜8511 days	8060〜10011 days	8565〜11011 days	8555〜10511 days	8565〜10511 days	9065〜11011 days	8560〜11011 days	6550〜8511 days	5540〜7011 days
Monsters, Inc. Ride & Go Seek!	5540〜7010 days	5545〜7011 days	4530〜5511 days	3525〜4511 days	4530〜5511 days	5540〜7011 days	6040〜7511 days	5540〜7011 days	5035〜6511 days	5035〜6511 days	4025〜5511 days	3020〜3511 days

Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.

Loading park information

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CROWD FORECAST

Sunday, 15 August 2027

Tokyo Disneyland · Forecast

Forecast model · Balanced

Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.

Inputs and validation

Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.

Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.

Wait-time baseline: 16 days (2026-10-16–2026-11-01)
Historical patterns: 992 days (2023-11-02–2026-10-26)

Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 3.9 min (13 days)

Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.

Showing the last available snapshot. Current data may be delayed.

Forecast

Typical

Forecast average wait24 min

Estimated range: 0–55 min

WeekendAdjusted for weekdays, holidays and seasons過去16日分の実績を参照Relative to this park's recorded waits · Provisional

Forecast confidence: Provisional
Use as a guide when choosing a visit date.

Weather

JMA

No forecast is available yet.

How to read this forecast

Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.

Weather is shown alongside the crowd forecast; it is not yet an input to the crowd model.

Snapshot: 02/11/2026, 02:00 JST

HOURLY WAIT FORECAST

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

CForecast for this date
Forecast confidence: Provisional

Showing the last saved forecast.

Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.

Historical records used：2026-10-22〜2026-11-01（11Sun）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.

エリア Attractions

Park-wide wait times

Hours unavailable · 09:00–21:00 min · Japan time

ForecastProvisional

09:00 JST

Recorded—

Forecast25 min09:00–10:00

Select a time

Showing the last saved forecast.

Each hourly mean uses attractions with a forecast. Missing values are not counted as zero. Attractions 24–33/37

Forecast confidence: Provisional · Historical records used 2026-10-22–2026-11-01

0–10 min11–18 min19–24 min25–32 min33–43 min44+ minRelative to this park's recorded waits · Provisional

Predicted wait (minutes), with indicative range below
Attractions	09:00	10:00	11:00	12:00	13:00	14:00	15:00	16:00	17:00	18:00	19:00	20:00
Omnibus	55〜107 days	55〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜108 days	50〜106 days	55〜108 days	55〜151 days	—	—	—	—	—
Penny Arcade	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Western River Railroad	1510〜2011 days	2015〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	2015〜2511 days	—
Pirates of the Caribbean	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days
Jungle Cruise: Wildlife Expeditions	105〜1511 days	205〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	2015〜2511 days	2515〜3011 days	2515〜3011 days	2520〜3011 days	2520〜3011 days	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days
Swiss Family Treehouse	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
The Enchanted Tiki Room: Stitch Presents "Aloha E Komo Mai!"	—	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜159 days	105〜158 days	105〜159 days	—
Westernland Shootin' Gallery	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	2010〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	2515〜3011 days	2015〜3011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1511 days
Country Bear Theater	—	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2511 days	155〜2511 days	2010〜2511 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	—
Mark Twain Riverboat	—	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1510 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	—
Tom Sawyer Island Rafts	—	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	—	—	—	—	—
Big Thunder Mountain	5540〜7010 days	5540〜7010 days	5035〜6511 days	4535〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	4535〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	5040〜6510 days	4530〜5511 days	4030〜5011 days	3020〜4011 days
Splash Mountain	5540〜7011 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜6511 days	5035〜6010 days	5530〜7011 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜7011 days	6550〜8511 days	6045〜8011 days	5035〜6011 days	4030〜5010 days	3525〜4511 days
Beaver Brothers Explorer Canoes	—	105〜3010 days	155〜209 days	205〜309 days	205〜259 days	205〜4010 days	255〜4011 days	—	—	—	—	—
Alice's Tea Party	55〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜2011 days	105〜1511 days
"it's a small world"	55〜1011 days	105〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	105〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1011 days	55〜1011 days
Castle Carrousel	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	2515〜3011 days	2015〜3011 days	1510〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days
Snow White's Adventures	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	2010〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days
Cinderella's Fairy Tale Hall	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Dumbo The Flying Elephant	3020〜3510 days	3525〜4510 days	3025〜4010 days	3525〜4010 days	3525〜4010 days	3525〜4510 days	3520〜4510 days	4030〜5010 days	3525〜4510 days	3525〜4510 days	3025〜4010 days	3020〜4010 days
Peter Pan's Flight	2515〜3011 days	3020〜3511 days	3020〜3511 days	2520〜3511 days	3020〜4011 days	3025〜4011 days	3025〜4011 days	3525〜4511 days	3525〜4011 days	3025〜4011 days	2520〜3011 days	2015〜3010 days
Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast	12595〜16010 days	13095〜16010 days	11080〜13510 days	8060〜10011 days	10075〜13010 days	10580〜13510 days	10075〜12510 days	10580〜13011 days	9570〜12010 days	8060〜1259 days	6550〜8510 days	5035〜7510 days
Pinocchio's Daring Journey	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Pooh's Hunny Hunt	5040〜6511 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜7011 days	5035〜6011 days	5540〜7011 days	6045〜7511 days	6045〜8011 days	6045〜8011 days	5540〜7011 days	4530〜5511 days	3525〜4511 days	2520〜3511 days
Haunted Mansion “Holiday Nightmare”	4535〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	5035〜6011 days	4530〜5511 days	5035〜7011 days	5535〜8011 days	5540〜7511 days	6045〜7511 days	5540〜7511 days	5530〜7511 days	4520〜7011 days	3010〜5011 days
Mickey's PhilharMagic	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜2011 days	105〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1511 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Gadget's Go Coaster	105〜1511 days	2010〜3011 days	155〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2511 days	2015〜2511 days	155〜2511 days	2015〜3011 days	2010〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days
Goofy's Paint 'n' Play House	—	155〜206 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	105〜156 days	50〜106 days	50〜106 days	—
Chip 'n Dale's Treehouse	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Toon Park	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Donald's Boat	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days
Minnie's House	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	105〜1511 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	105〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2011 days	1510〜2511 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	55〜1011 days
Roger Rabbit's Car Toon Spin	105〜1511 days	2515〜3011 days	2515〜3011 days	2010〜2511 days	2010〜3011 days	3020〜3511 days	2520〜3511 days	3020〜3511 days	3020〜3511 days	2015〜2511 days	105〜2011 days	105〜1511 days
Star Tours: The Adventures Continue	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	50〜1011 days	55〜1511 days	105〜2511 days	1510〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	155〜2011 days	105〜1511 days	50〜1011 days	55〜1011 days
Stitch Encounter	—	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	105〜1511 days	—	—
The Happy Ride with Baymax	11075〜13511 days	10580〜13011 days	8060〜10011 days	6550〜8511 days	8060〜10011 days	8565〜11011 days	8555〜10511 days	8565〜10511 days	9065〜11011 days	8560〜11011 days	6550〜8511 days	5540〜7011 days
Monsters, Inc. Ride & Go Seek!	5540〜7010 days	5545〜7011 days	4530〜5511 days	3525〜4511 days	4530〜5511 days	5540〜7011 days	6040〜7511 days	5540〜7011 days	5035〜6511 days	5035〜6511 days	4025〜5511 days	3020〜3511 days

Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.

Choose a park

Tokyo Disneyland

Choose a park

Tokyo Disneyland

Sunday, 15 August 2027

Typical

Weather

How to read this forecast

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

Park-wide wait times

Sunday, 15 August 2027

Typical

Weather

How to read this forecast

Hourly wait forecasts by attraction

Park-wide wait times