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Tokyo Disneyland · Forecast
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 15 days (2026-10-16–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 993 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)
Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 4.0 min (12 days)
Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
Estimated range: 0–49 min
Forecast confidence: Provisional
Use as a guide when choosing a visit date.
No forecast is available yet.
Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.
Weather is shown alongside the crowd forecast; it is not yet an input to the crowd model.
Snapshot: 01/11/2026, 20:50 JST
CForecast for this date
Forecast confidence: Provisional
Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.
Historical records used：2026-10-22〜2026-10-31（10Sun）
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.
Hours unavailable · 09:00–21:00 min · Japan time
Each hourly mean uses attractions with a forecast. Missing values are not counted as zero. Attractions 24–33/37
Forecast confidence: Provisional · Historical records used 2026-10-22–2026-10-31
| Attractions | 09:00 | 10:00 | 11:00 | 12:00 | 13:00 | 14:00 | 15:00 | 16:00 | 17:00 | 18:00 | 19:00 | 20:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omnibus | 61〜127 days | 61〜1310 days | 61〜1310 days | 71〜137 days | 82〜135 days | 72〜138 days | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Penny Arcade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Western River Railroad | 137〜1810 days | 149〜2010 days | 1610〜2310 days | 94〜1510 days | 104〜2010 days | 146〜2610 days | 126〜1710 days | 136〜1810 days | 136〜1910 days | 136〜1910 days | 1813〜2410 days | — |
| Pirates of the Caribbean | 126〜1710 days | 149〜2010 days | 138〜1910 days | 104〜1610 days | 116〜1910 days | 1510〜2110 days | 138〜1910 days | 148〜1910 days | 156〜2010 days | 116〜1710 days | 72〜1310 days | 104〜1510 days |
| Jungle Cruise: Wildlife Expeditions | 71〜1210 days | 115〜1710 days | 115〜1710 days | 104〜1810 days | 116〜2510 days | 176〜2610 days | 166〜2110 days | 166〜2110 days | 186〜2410 days | 176〜2210 days | 72〜1310 days | 104〜1810 days |
| Swiss Family Treehouse | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| The Enchanted Tiki Room: Stitch Presents “Aloha E Komo Mai!” | — | 94〜158 days | 105〜168 days | 105〜168 days | 105〜168 days | 105〜168 days | 115〜168 days | 115〜168 days | 115〜168 days | 115〜167 days | 115〜168 days | — |
| Westernland Shootin’ Gallery | 50〜1110 days | 71〜1210 days | 104〜1510 days | 138〜2210 days | 126〜2210 days | 1914〜2510 days | 1610〜2110 days | 1711〜2510 days | 168〜2510 days | 116〜1710 days | 82〜1410 days | 71〜1210 days |
| Country Bear Theater | — | 159〜2010 days | 159〜2010 days | 159〜2010 days | 1610〜2110 days | 1610〜2110 days | 1712〜2310 days | 1712〜2310 days | 1712〜2310 days | 1711〜2210 days | 1610〜2110 days | — |
| Mark Twain Riverboat | — | 82〜139 days | 93〜149 days | 94〜159 days | 104〜159 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | 115〜1610 days | 115〜1610 days | — |
| Tom Sawyer Island Rafts | — | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 60〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | — | — | — | — | — |
| Big Thunder Mountain | 3313〜489 days | 4027〜519 days | 3927〜5010 days | 3524〜4410 days | 3512〜4610 days | 4023〜5110 days | 3714〜4610 days | 3912〜4910 days | 3912〜499 days | 3512〜4510 days | 3112〜4010 days | 2917〜3810 days |
| Splash Mountain | 4121〜5610 days | 4628〜5910 days | 4127〜5210 days | 3626〜499 days | 4119〜5410 days | 5030〜7210 days | 4725〜6810 days | 5324〜8310 days | 4914〜6910 days | 4121〜5210 days | 328〜449 days | 2814〜3710 days |
| Beaver Brothers Explorer Canoes | — | 71〜129 days | 83〜188 days | 72〜138 days | 104〜158 days | 226〜349 days | 216〜3410 days | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alice’s Tea Party | 50〜1110 days | 61〜1210 days | 71〜1210 days | 82〜1310 days | 72〜1310 days | 116〜1710 days | 115〜1610 days | 116〜1710 days | 138〜1910 days | 138〜1910 days | 83〜1410 days | 82〜1310 days |
| “it’s a small world” | 60〜1110 days | 83〜1410 days | 83〜1410 days | 93〜1810 days | 93〜1510 days | 137〜2010 days | 105〜1810 days | 93〜1410 days | 94〜1510 days | 104〜1510 days | 60〜1110 days | 60〜1110 days |
| Castle Carrousel | 50〜1110 days | 82〜1310 days | 93〜1410 days | 94〜1510 days | 94〜1710 days | 126〜1710 days | 116〜1710 days | 138〜1910 days | 1913〜2510 days | 1913〜2510 days | 104〜2010 days | 114〜1710 days |
| Snow White’s Adventures | 94〜1510 days | 159〜2210 days | 1510〜2110 days | 1510〜2110 days | 159〜2110 days | 2014〜2510 days | 1813〜2610 days | 1914〜2610 days | 2014〜2510 days | 1712〜2310 days | 116〜1710 days | 104〜1510 days |
| Cinderella’s Fairy Tale Hall | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dumbo The Flying Elephant | 186〜289 days | 256〜339 days | 2613〜359 days | 2615〜349 days | 2511〜379 days | 3112〜409 days | 2912〜389 days | 306〜379 days | 316〜439 days | 306〜399 days | 256〜339 days | 236〜349 days |
| Peter Pan’s Flight | 1912〜2410 days | 2719〜3610 days | 2619〜3410 days | 2418〜3310 days | 2720〜4210 days | 3223〜4310 days | 2921〜4210 days | 3425〜4910 days | 3324〜4310 days | 3022〜3910 days | 2216〜3010 days | 2014〜269 days |
| Enchanted Tale of Beauty and the Beast | 10981〜1379 days | 11485〜1439 days | 8564〜1079 days | 7555〜9410 days | 9367〜1189 days | 9672〜1219 days | 9067〜1139 days | 8563〜10710 days | 8362〜1049 days | 6850〜859 days | 5440〜6810 days | 4829〜649 days |
| Pinocchio’s Daring Journey | 50〜1110 days | 71〜1210 days | 71〜1210 days | 61〜1210 days | 82〜1410 days | 115〜1610 days | 94〜1510 days | 104〜1510 days | 105〜1610 days | 83〜1410 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days |
| Pooh’s Hunny Hunt | 4533〜5610 days | 4936〜6210 days | 4735〜5910 days | 3929〜4910 days | 4433〜5610 days | 5037〜6210 days | 4231〜5310 days | 4433〜5610 days | 4030〜5110 days | 3425〜4310 days | 2720〜3410 days | 2011〜2610 days |
| Haunted Mansion “Holiday Nightmare” | 4130〜5110 days | 4533〜5710 days | 4534〜5710 days | 3929〜4910 days | 4632〜6010 days | 5339〜6710 days | 5238〜6510 days | 5540〜6910 days | 5535〜6910 days | 5435〜6810 days | 4217〜5810 days | 318〜4210 days |
| Mickey’s PhilharMagic | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 72〜1310 days | 83〜1410 days | 71〜1210 days | 82〜1310 days | 83〜1410 days | 61〜1210 days | 60〜1110 days | 60〜1110 days |
| Gadget’s Go Coaster | 60〜1110 days | 104〜1510 days | 115〜1710 days | 94〜1510 days | 104〜1710 days | 166〜2310 days | 156〜2410 days | 146〜2110 days | 156〜2110 days | 115〜1610 days | 71〜1210 days | 71〜1210 days |
| Goofy’s Paint ’n’ Play House | — | 82〜135 days | 61〜125 days | 71〜125 days | 50〜105 days | 83〜145 days | 72〜135 days | 60〜115 days | 72〜135 days | 50〜115 days | 50〜105 days | — |
| Chip ’n Dale’s Treehouse | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days |
| Toon Park | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donald’s Boat | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days |
| Minnie’s House | 50〜1110 days | 60〜1110 days | 71〜1410 days | 72〜1310 days | 82〜1410 days | 94〜1510 days | 114〜1610 days | 94〜1610 days | 126〜1710 days | 115〜1610 days | 83〜1410 days | 72〜1310 days |
| Roger Rabbit’s Car Toon Spin | 82〜1310 days | 189〜2310 days | 2014〜2510 days | 179〜2710 days | 177〜2910 days | 2922〜3710 days | 2114〜2710 days | 2317〜2910 days | 2417〜3110 days | 1914〜2510 days | 93〜1610 days | 82〜1310 days |
| Star Tours: The Adventures Continue | 50〜1110 days | 50〜1110 days | 60〜1110 days | 60〜1110 days | 72〜1310 days | 116〜1710 days | 94〜1510 days | 83〜1410 days | 105〜1610 days | 104〜1510 days | 60〜1110 days | 72〜1310 days |
| Stitch Encounter | — | 105〜1610 days | 116〜1710 days | 126〜1910 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | 105〜1610 days | — | — |
| The Happy Ride with Baymax | 7656〜9510 days | 7959〜10010 days | 6951〜8610 days | 5037〜6310 days | 6044〜7710 days | 6851〜8610 days | 5642〜7810 days | 6448〜8110 days | 7153〜8910 days | 6347〜8510 days | 4936〜6410 days | 4533〜5810 days |
| Monsters, Inc. Ride & Go Seek! | 3929〜509 days | 4030〜5110 days | 4030〜6510 days | 3123〜4010 days | 3526〜5510 days | 4936〜6410 days | 4332〜5910 days | 4533〜6610 days | 4231〜5310 days | 3828〜5310 days | 2719〜3710 days | 2719〜3510 days |
Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.