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Tokyo Disneyland · Recorded
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 15 days (2026-10-16–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 993 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)
Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 4.0 min (12 days)
Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
Crowd ranks compare historical records for the same park and measure. Gaps between records are filled automatically and marked ≈.
No forecast was archived for this date.
Crowd ranks compare historical records for the same park and measure. Gaps between records are filled automatically and marked ≈.
Snapshot: 01/11/2026, 20:45 JST
Missing waits between records for the same ride and day are filled at 15-minute intervals. ≈ and dashed lines indicate estimates. Gaps across closures are not filled. Mean, minimum and maximum use the original records.
| Attractions | Minimum | Average | Maximum |
|---|---|---|---|
| ビッグサンダーマウンテン | 50 | 53.3 | 60 |
| スプラッシュマウンテン | — | — | — |
| 美女と野獣 魔法のものがたり | 100 | 110 | 120 |
| プーさん ハニーハント | 50 | 55 | 60 |
| Haunted Mansion | — | — | — |
| ベイマックス ハッピーライド | 50 | 68.3 | 90 |
| モンスターズ インク | 60 | 86.7 | 100 |
| スター ツアーズ | 5 | 7.5 | 10 |
Hourly, with 15-minute intervals covering the latest hour. Ongoing intervals use only records collected so far.
Includes estimates
1 attractions shown
| Time min | ビッグサンダーマウンテン |
|---|---|
| 19/0113:15–14:00 | ≈50 |
| 14:00–14:45 | ≈50 |
| 14:45–15:00 | 50 |
| 15:00–15:15 | ≈55 |
| 15:15–15:30 | 60 |
| 15:30–15:45 | ≈60 |
| 15:45–16:00 | 60 |
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
1 attractions shown
| Time min | スプラッシュマウンテン |
|---|
No recorded wait times
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
3 attractions shown
| Time min | 美女と野獣 魔法のものがたり | プーさん ハニーハント | Haunted Mansion |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/0113:15–14:00 | ≈120 | ≈55 | — |
| 14:00–14:45 | ≈107 | ≈58 | — |
| 14:45–15:00 | 120 | 50 | — |
| 15:00–15:15 | ≈110 | — | — |
| 15:15–15:30 | 100 | — | — |
| 15:30–15:45 | ≈100 | — | — |
| 15:45–16:00 | 100 | — | — |
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
3 attractions shown
| Time min | ベイマックス ハッピーライド | モンスターズ インク | スター ツアーズ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/0113:15–14:00 | ≈70 | ≈75 | ≈5 |
| 14:00–14:45 | ≈85 | ≈90 | ≈9 |
| 14:45–15:00 | 70 | 90 | 10 |
| 15:00–15:15 | ≈60 | ≈90 | ≈10 |
| 15:15–15:30 | 50 | 90 | 10 |
| 15:30–15:45 | ≈55 | ≈95 | ≈8 |
| 15:45–16:00 | 60 | 100 | 5 |
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time
Includes estimates
Hours unavailable · 13:15–15:45 min · Japan time