Asakusa Hanayashiki · Forecast
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 4 days (2026-10-28–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 502 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-23)
Mean absolute error for recent past dates, using only earlier observations: 2.0 min (1 days)
Annual accuracy is not available: sufficient consistent two-year training and one-year test data are not yet available.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
Estimated range: 0–22 min
Forecast confidence: Provisional
Use as a guide when choosing a visit date.
Indicative attraction-average waits based on historical records and similar weekdays and holidays. This does not measure attendance or guarantee any individual wait.
Weather is shown alongside the crowd forecast; it is not yet an input to the crowd model.
Snapshot: 01/11/2026, 21:05 JST
EForecast for this date
Forecast confidence: Provisional
Estimated from historical days with similar crowd ranks and weekdays. Each cell shows an estimate and indicative range in minutes.
Historical records used:2026-10-28〜2026-10-31(4Sun)
Opening hours are not yet announced. Times shown reflect historical observations.
Hours unavailable · 10:00–18:00 min · Japan time
Each hourly mean uses attractions with a forecast. Missing values are not counted as zero. Attractions 17–17/18
Forecast confidence: Provisional · Historical records used 2026-10-28–2026-10-31
| Attractions | 10:00 | 11:00 | 12:00 | 13:00 | 14:00 | 15:00 | 16:00 | 17:00 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merry-Go-Round | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Swan | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Pyon Pyon | 00〜54 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days |
| Helicopter | 00〜54 days | 10〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜54 days |
| Sky Ship | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Roller Coaster | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Kids' Ninja House: Nin Nin Park | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thriller Car | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Kids' Taxi | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Surprise House | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Carnival | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Disk-O | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Little Star | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Shirasagi | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days |
| Maruhana Swordsmanship Dojo | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Panorama Time Travel | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Mysterious Scoop Photographer | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days |
| Haunted House — Edo Test of Courage | 10〜64 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜54 days | 00〜64 days | 20〜74 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days | 00〜64 days |
Blank cells indicate insufficient data, not zero waits. Forecasts based on few days are provisional. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals. Weather, closures and events may change waits.