正在載入樂園信息
尋找適合遊園的好日子。
瀏覽全年記錄與預測。
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 2 days (2026-10-30–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 970 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)
Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation
2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (326 days)
| Model | Mean error | Rank match |
|---|---|---|
| 相似日期優先 | 4.1 min | 29.8% |
| 活動優先 | 3.5 min | 41.7% |
| 均衡 | 3.6 min | 36.2% |
| Reference: constant mean | 5.7 min | 14.7% |
Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
以此樂園實際等候時間為基準 · 初步
已儲存記錄起始日期：2023-10-27〜。擁擠等級以同一樂園、同一指標的歷史紀錄為基準。紀錄間的缺失時段會自動內插，並標註≈。
依每日平均等候時間比較擁擠程度，並非入園人數。 以此樂園實際等候時間為基準 · 初步
E：0–13分 D：14–22分 C：23–30分 B：31–40分 A：41–53分 S：54+分
使用營業時間記錄率至少65%的完整日期，以係數調整平日、週末、假日、連假、新年和學校假期。少量資料的預測和未經實測學習的係數均為暫定。
Validation uses only earlier observations and event dates known at the forecast origin. Weather and future ride closures are excluded. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals.
外部歷史僅用於星期和季節倍率，不與本站實測等候時間混合。
趨勢學習天數：970 · 2023-11-01〜2026-10-26
歷史數據：Powered by ThemeParks.wiki。後續將持續記錄官方應用的等候時間數據。