Cargando información del parque
Encuentra tu próximo día perfecto en el parque.
Explora un año de récords y previsiones.
Balances weekday, seasonal and event effects.
Uses each park’s observations and up to three years of weekday, holiday, seasonal, vacation and verified event patterns. Recorded results do not change with the model.
Event dates cover selected verified Disney and USJ events. Unregistered events, local school calendars, weather and future ride closures are excluded. Vacation periods are general seasonal estimates.
Wait-time baseline: 2 days (2026-10-30–2026-10-31)
Historical patterns: 970 days (2023-11-01–2026-10-26)
Two-year training / one-year holdout, with the rank scale frozen before validation
2023-10-27–2025-10-26 → 2025-10-27–2026-10-26 (326 days)
| Model | Mean error | Rank match |
|---|---|---|
| Días similares | 4.1 min | 29.8% |
| Eventos | 3.5 min | 41.7% |
| Equilibrado | 3.6 min | 36.2% |
| Reference: constant mean | 5.7 min | 14.7% |
Validation of a consistent archived metric; these scores do not measure the accuracy of current all-attraction averages or hourly forecasts.
External history contributes relative effects within each park and measurement series. Crowd points are never treated as minutes. These are provisional alternatives; no model is guaranteed to be more accurate.
Referencia basada en las esperas registradas en este parque · Provisional
Resultados históricos · 975 días · 2023-10-27〜
La historia comienza: 2023-10-27〜。Los niveles comparan registros del mismo parque e indicador. Los huecos entre registros se completan automáticamente y se marcan con ≈.
La afluencia se compara por la espera media diaria, no por el número de visitantes. Referencia basada en las esperas registradas en este parque · Provisional
E：0–13 min D：14–22 min C：23–30 min B：31–40 min A：41–53 min S：54+ min
Se usan días completos con al menos un 65% de cobertura, ajustados por días laborables, fines de semana, festivos y vacaciones. Los factores sin suficientes datos son provisionales.
Validation uses only earlier observations and event dates known at the forecast origin. Weather and future ride closures are excluded. Ranges are not statistical confidence intervals.
El historial externo solo aporta factores semanales y estacionales; no se mezcla con nuestras mediciones.
Días de aprendizaje：970 · 2023-11-01〜2026-10-26
Datos históricos: Powered by ThemeParks.wiki. Seguimos registrando datos de tiempo de espera de la aplicación oficial.